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Jason Witham's Flemington Picks - Monday, 4 November

Jockey MARK ZAHRA and trainer Sam Freedman after winning the Lexus Melbourne Cup at Flemington in Australia.
Jockey MARK ZAHRA and trainer Sam Freedman after winning the Lexus Melbourne Cup at Flemington in Australia. Picture: Steve Hart

RACE 1- 3/5/2/10 BACASH

Sat wide, boxed on well in key lead up 
Fitter, Flemington straight will suit 
J Mac on, sharp improver, value


RACE 2- 4/2/8/5 HAMMETT

Strong win latest in Sydney, progressive 
Extra furlong suits, J Moreira a positive 
Low draw, exacta Opening Address 


RACE 3- 9/4/2/6 STORMFRONT

Lightly raced, more upside than rivals
B Melham back on is key, yet to peak
Flemington suits, value in open race 


RACE 4- 13/12/18/3 MANOLO BLING 

Consistent filly, fitness edge on many 
B Melham on a plus, 5 furlongs suits 
Well graded, value in even field 


RACE 5- 7/4/10/17 WHISKY ON THE HILL

Held up in straight last start, forgive 
Excellent wins prior, extra trip ideal
Tough stayer, E Brown sticks, good bet


RACE 6- 8/10/2/5 APULIA

Unlucky 1st up, held up, fitter, forgive 
2nd in Vic Derby, class runner, low draw
M Zhara sticks, Flemington and trip suit


RACE 7- 5/2/1/18 KOVALICA

Similar lead up runs to 2021 Cup winner 
Gone to new level this prep, target race 
Up in trip ideal, D Lane a plus, value

 

RACE 8- 5/15/8/1 EXTREMELY HARDYS

Unbeaten filly, tough on pace win fresh 
Low draw suits, J Moreira a positive 
Plenty of upside, Waller, target race


RACE 9- 3/4/6/5 FALL FOR CINDY 

Solid fresh in harder, unbeaten 2nd up
Classy at best, sharp improver 
Flemington suits, D Lane a positive 


RACE 10- 13/12/3/11 BEL AIR

Solid this prep, excuses, forgive 
Peaks 3rd up, top Flemington stats
Low draw, B Melham back on is key 


Best Bet Race 6-8 APULIA

Value Play Race 7-5 KOVALICA

Double Race 1
3,5 / 4,2

Double Race 9
3,4,6 / 14,12

PICK 4 Race 7
5,2,1,18,12,8 / 5,15 / 3,4,6,5 / 13,12,3
 


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