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Turffontein Picks - Thursday, 14 November

Racecourse : Turffontein (South Africa)
Racecourse : Turffontein (South Africa)

Race 1
Race Summary: This won't take much winning, so it could pay to follow the progress of MIST IN IRELAND who needn't improve a great deal with the benefit of an encouraging debut outing. Stablemate PRAIRIE SPRING is worth a market check and any betting support for this debutante has to be taken seriously. KHICHDI and SPY STORY have the form and experience to play leading roles, while DEVILISHLYGORGEOUS shouldn't be underestimated after relocating from Cape Town.

Selections:
#9 Mist In Ireland, #4 Khichdi, #10 Prairie Spring, #2 Spy Story

Race 2
Race Summary: Hard-knockers SAFE SPACE and WHISPERS OF WAR are consistent performers who will be competitive off their current marks. Progressive last-start winner POTBERRIE is open to further improvement over this extended trip. GUERILLA WARFARE and HONORABLE MEMBER should play a role if building on the progress of their most recent outings.

Selections:
#1 Safe Space, #2 Potberrie, #5 Whispers Of War, #6 Honorable Member

Race 3
Race Summary: VIBE SA has been costly to follow but wouldn't be winning out of turn after finishing second in 6 of his 8 starts. However, his race readiness after a 133-day layoff raises a question. As such, a chance is taken on LLOYD WRIGHT who ran above market expectations when finishing third over 1160m last time and remains open to improvement. CASUS BELLI, LETONA and MYSTIC VISION will be wiser to the task after introductory outings and should have more to offer. SEVENTH FLEET and DRIVELIKEAMASTER are well-bred colts who needn't be special to feature. Watch the betting.

Selections:
#7 Lloyd Wright, #1 Vibe Sa, #9 Seventh Fleet, #4 Casus Belli

Race 4
Race Summary: MONTANA LIGHTS and MILO'S MILLIONAIRE have been sparingly raced and had excuses in their recent comeback outings. Both fillies would've come on and remain open to improvement. KALIKAA and INTRO have the form and experience to acquit themselves competitively, while WHISTLING STRAIT and IZANAMI ought to have benefitted from their first outings.

Selections:
#2 Montana Lights, #4 Milo's Millionaire, #1 Kalikaa, #9 Whistling Strait

Race 5
Race Summary: CLEAR THE PATH has finished close-up in both starts this term, albeit over shorter distances. He won't need to improve much over this extended trip to shed his maiden tag. THE MERCIFUL fits a similar profile and should make his presence felt. SPLASHLANDING is closely matched with that rival but also stretches out to this trip for the first time. MISHRAH, PLUM BLOSSOM and SIENNA RAE shouldn't be underestimated.

Selections:
#3 The Merciful, #2 Clear The Path, #7 Splashlanding, #4 Mishrah

Race 6
Race Summary: MOUNT ETNA finished ahead of DIMAKO'S JET over 1600m last time but the latter will enjoy the extra 200m and could turn the tables on 1kg better terms. LEAO ALADO is better off at the weights with CIRCLE OF GRACE and should confirm his superiority. THE OCTAGON wasn't winning out of turn last time and this extended trip should unlock further improvement, so it could pay to follow his progress under a 2,5kg-claiming apprentice. AMERICAN BISCUIT and FUTUREWOLFF complete the shortlist.

Selections:
#5 The Octagon, #4 Dimako's Jet, #2 Leao Alado, #1 Mount Etna

Race 7
Race Summary: Debut winner LADY OF MEMPHIS could be anything so has to be respected. SAIGON SUZIE should fare better in this grade, having acquitted herself well over track and trip at a higher level last time. Honest hard-knocker RIDE ON and top-weight VALIEVA have the form and experience to play leading roles too. However, a chance is taken on consistent class-dropper THERE SHE GOES who has dropped to an attractive mark and benefits from her rider's 2,5kg allowance. HEIRLOOM and STROOPSOET can earn a minor cheque.

Selections:
#3 There She Goes, #4 Saigon Suzie, #2 Ride On, #5 Lady Of Memphis

Race 8
Race Summary: HIS LORDSHIP improved on his return as a gelding to open his account over this distance and remains open to further progress. The form of his maiden victory has been franked by 2 subsequent winners. ALONE TIME and COMMANDER OF ALL are closely matched on recent form and should pose a threat. KOTINOS has dropped in the ratings to a competitive mark and shouldn't be underestimated. Last-start winner LAVA FIRE, veteran WRITTEN IN STONE and hard-knocker TWICE AS WILD won't be far off the mark either.

Selections:
#1 His Lordship, #2 Alone Time, #3 Kotinos, #6 Commander Of All

Best Win: #9 MIST IN IRELAND                                            
Best Value Bet: #3 THERE SHE GOES                                            
Best Longshot: #3 THERE SHE GOES       
                                     


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