Cup week is upon us and Derby Day has nine of the very best from Flemington.
An outstanding card of racing awaits us from Flemington on Saturday and the best of the day comes up in one of the three Group One.
We're heading to the Coolmore Stud Stakes and siding with Tentyris to get the job done.
The market spat him out in the Danehill first up but he was the first home of the inferior inside division and in front at the 150m mark, peaking late off an injury there before heading to Caulfield and producing a spectacular win in the Gothic Stakes.
This time, the market clued right on and backed him heavily, a plunge that nearly went astray when in traffic with plenty of ground to make up.
He weaved his way through there off a fast speed to win, running to a new peak of 115 with Racing And Sports, comfortably the best Gothic winner in the past 15 years.
He'll need to be to win a Coolmore, because no horse has come through the Gothic to win a Coolmore, but the splits there suggests he can rate even higher, and I think he'll explode third up in the grand final.
Beiwacht is comfortably the highest rated horse at 123 off his dominant Golden Rose win in fast time, but my feel is he'll regress off that. Clearly he had the fence favours and his Run To The Rose rating at 1200m is below what Tentyris did last time out.
The other main bet I'll have on the card is King Zephyr in Race 5 who looks beautifully suited getting to Flemington.
Three runs this time in, the one he's won was on the big track at Sandown, and last start at Caulfield he was outstanding from too far back on a fast deck, beaten at $1.65.
The splits there say he was the best horse on the day and the SP ratio with him and Zou Sensation from last start swings far more in King Zephyr's way, who is far better suited here.
Approaching 2/1 now, I think that's very fair and a good bet.
